Бергеру птичка шепнула, что с СЛС усё может быть в скором времени. Шанс как у блондинки – 50/50
To be clear we are *far* from anything being settled, but based on what I'm hearing it seems at least 50-50 that NASA's Space Launch System rocket will be canceled. Not Block 1B. Not Block 2. All of it. There are other ways to get Orion to the Moon.
My sense is that the solution would be launching Orion on one rocket (probably FH, from 39A) and then docking with a (separately launched) Centaur V and boosting it to the Moon.
Maybe that becomes the sacrificial lamb and they save Block 1. I dunno. Honestly the people who will ultimately make this decision aren't even in place yet. But there is a big desire for big changes.